| 1. | Part two : is analysis of the characteristics , generation mechanism of business cycle fluctuation of real estate industry and its relationship with the macroeconomic of our country
2分析我国房地产经济周期波动特点、生成机理以及与宏观经济周期波动的相互关系。 |
| 2. | Therefore , study on business cycle fluctuation of real estate industry is not only more helpful to the healthy development of real estate industry and also a creative meaning to the economy society in theory
因此，分析研究房地产经济周期波动，不仅具有理论上的开拓意义，而且有助于在实践中指导房地产业的健康发展。 |
| 3. | At present , there seems a extensive study on inner system of business cycle , but study on the industrial cycle , which always fluctuate the business cycle , especially on the business cycle fluctuation of real estate industry is ignored much even as a plank space
目前研究经济周期波动内在机制的较多，对于构成经济周期波动的产业周期研究还存在不少空白，其中对房地产经济周期波动的研究更是较少涉及。 |
| 4. | Macroeconomic fluctuation impact on the companies " earnings significantly , therefore the business cycle fluctuations will affect the companies ’ asset value fluctuations . according to morton ’ s asset value model , if the asset of company is less than a specified threshold value , the company ' s
结合我国金融体制改革,得到结论是,中国的金融压抑和信贷配给再加上政府对银行经营活动的控制,造成了违约率循环和经济周期波动项之间的同向关系。 |
| 5. | The analysis showed that terms of trade and volatility of the output gap were predominant among the structural variables . the paper concluded that hong kong , as a small and open economy , was specialised and subject to high income volatility and business cycle fluctuations with relatively concentrated and limited domestic investment opportunities
分析显示贸易价格比率及产值差距波动是其中主要的结构性因素，并总结认为香港作为细小及开放型的经济体系，情况独特，备受收入大幅起伏经济周期波动，以及本地投资机会相对集中与有限的影响。 |
| 6. | Part three : according to the above study , writer leads some policies , for our choice , on a continuing advance of our real estate industry . this part is composed of chapter four . lt is important how to design or choose the policy on real estate industry for promotion lasting and continuous development of real estate industry . you have to meet this problem when you analyze and study of business cycle fluctuation of real estate industry
该部分内容由第4章构成，在房地产经济周期波动运行背景下，特别是对处于经济转轨时期的中国而言，如何促进房地产业实现长期稳定增长，是制定和选择房地产业政策时面临的一个重要问题，同时也是在分析和研究房地产周期波动时必须正面回答的问题，本部分分析了促进房地产业稳定增长的政策选择。 |
| 7. | This paper is aimed at professional analysis of the generation mechanism and some basic points on business cycle fluctuation of real estate industry , and further study of the characteristics of business cycle fluctuation of real estate industry and its relationship with macroeconomic business cycle . writer is prefer to conclude that policy cycle fluctuation is a fundamental cause on business cycle fluctuation of real estate industry in the period of chinese economy system shift . in the end writer su
本文集中分析和研究了房地产经济周期波动的生成机理等基本理论性问题，探讨了我国房地产经济周期波动的特征及其与宏观经济周期的相互关系，提出了当前我国经济转轨时期，政策周期波动是房地产经济周期波动的根本原因观点，同时提出了应对周期波动的房地产业发展政策建议，这些不但是对经济周期理论的创新，而且更是房地产经济周期波动理论的扩展。 |
| 8. | The writer studies the developed steps of real estate industry in the above - mentioned period and describes its generation mechanism , characteristics and cause of business cycle fluctuation of real estate industry in the period of our economy system shift . it is necessary to point out that policy cycle fluctuation should be a fundamental cause on business cycle fluctuation of real estate industry in china . writer here jumps at the conclusion that the recovery phase and depression phase of business cycle in our real estate industry should be later than the expansion phase and decline phase
该部分内容由第3章构成，即从房地产经济周期波动的一般研究转到对我国房地产经济周期波动进行分析，从总体上看，改革开放以来我国房地产业的真正形成与发展只有20年的历史，通过对这一短时期中国房地产业发展的探讨，指明转轨时期中国房地产经济周期波动的一些主要特点，同时指出我国房地产经济周期波动形成机制与原因，当前我国经济转轨时期，政策周期波动是房地产经济周期波动的根本原因，并从理论角度分析了房地产经济周期波动与宏观经济周期波动在各个阶段间的相互关系，得出我国房地产经济周期相对于宏观经济周期波动来说在复苏期和萧条期滞后，但高涨期和衰退期却先行的结论。 |
| 9. | This part is divided into two chapters : in chapter one , after brief description of essential concepts of business cycle fluctuation , it comes to the learning conclusion that there has been a study of main theories in the theory circles in accordance with the earlier business cycle theory , keynesslism ' cycle theory and new classicalism ' theory
该部分内容由以下两章构成：第1章在简要提出经济周期波动一般概念的基础上，按早期经济周期波动理论、凯恩斯主义经济周期波动理论和新古典主义经济周期波动理论等三大阶段，归纳出现有主要经济周期波动理论的研究结论。 |
| 10. | This paper is referred to detailed study on business cycle fluctuation of real estate industry based on analysis method of modern economics and the current economic situation in our country , which is composed of the following three parts : part one : through brief summary on the main theories of business cycle fluctuation and discussion on the main viewpoints on business cycle fluctuation of real estate industry , it tells us , based on the true cases , the generation mechanism of business fluctuation of t real estate industry just for further analysis and study of business cycle fluctuation of the housing and land in our country as a theory preparation
本文运用现代经济学的分析方法，同时结合我国的实际，对房地产经济周期波动问题进行了较为深入的探讨。本文由以下三个部分组成： 1通过简要归纳、总结主要经济周期波动理论及房地产经济周期波动理论主要观点，从实证角度分析各国或地区房地产经济周期波动，提出房地产经济周期波动的生成机理，为分析、研究我国房地产经济周期波动提供理论准备。 |
